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POL Polska - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy51%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Expected goals3.24Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
51% / 26% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Polonia Bytom win (23.6%)Podwójna szansa1X76.4%1.31
Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%Goals 2.5Powyżej63%1.59
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
3.24 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapArka Gdynia winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arka Gdynia win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp
Remis26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Polonia Bytom win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arka Gdynia2.16

Gospodarze share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.24Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%

Polonia Bytom1.08

Goście share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.16
Expected goals
1.08
Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arka Gdynia signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Bytom signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arka Gdynia wygrana 51%,Remis 26%,Polonia Bytom wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Powyżej 2.5 63% · Current selection Powyżej