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POL Poland I Liga · Kamp ·

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier51%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier24%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Expected goals3.24Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
51% / 26% / 24%KampresultatHjemmeseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Polonia Bytom win (23.6%)Dobbel sjanse1X76.4%1.31
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 59% · Nei 41%Begge lag scorerJa59%1.69
3.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapArka Gdynia winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arka Gdynia win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp
Uavgjort26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Polonia Bytom win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arka Gdynia2.16

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.24Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Polonia Bytom1.08

Borte share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nei 41%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.16
Expected goals
1.08
Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arka Gdynia signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Bytom signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arka Gdynia vunnet 51%,Uavgjort 26%,Polonia Bytom vunnet 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over