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POL Poland I Liga · Trận đấu ·

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng51%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng24%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Expected goals3.24Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài63% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
51% / 26% / 24%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Polonia Bytom win (23.6%)Cơ hội kép1X76.4%1.31
Tài 63% · Xỉu 37%Goals 2.5Tài63%1.59
Có 59% · Không 41%Cả hai đội ghi bàn59%1.69
3.24 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
10.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapArka Gdynia winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arka Gdynia win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp
Hòa26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Polonia Bytom win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arka Gdynia2.16

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.24Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 63% · Xỉu 37%

Polonia Bytom1.08

Khách share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · Không 41%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà won 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Thắng probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.16
Expected goals
1.08
Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arka Gdynia signalChủ nhà won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Bytom signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arka Gdynia thắng 51%,Hòa 26%,Polonia Bytom thắng 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Tài 2.5 63% · Current selection Tài