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POL Pologne - I Liga · Match ·

Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Miedz LegnicaWarta Poznan
Expected goals3.45Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 26% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Double chance1273.8%1.36
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 67% · Non 33%Les deux équipes marquentOui67%1.49
3.45 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
11.6 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Miedz Legnica win47%2.131.9147.1%-0.1 pp
Nul26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
Warta Poznan win27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miedz Legnica1.87

Domicile share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals3.45Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Warta Poznan1.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 67% · Non 33%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Miedz Legnica

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Warta Poznan

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
1.58
Miedz LegnicaWarta Poznan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miedz Legnica signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warta Poznan signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miedz Legnica victoire 47%,Nul 26%,Warta Poznan victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de