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POL Polen - I Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst27%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Miedz LegnicaWarta Poznań
Expected goals3.45Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 26% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Dubbele Kans1273.8%1.36
Boven 67% · Onder 33%Goals 2.5Boven67%1.49
Ja 67% · Nee 33%Beide teams scorenJa67%1.49
3.45 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
11.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Miedz Legnica win47%2.131.9147.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
Warta Poznań win27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miedz Legnica1.87

Thuis share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals3.45Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 67% · Onder 33%

Warta Poznań1.58

Uit share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nee 33%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Miedz Legnica

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Warta Poznań

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
1.58
Miedz LegnicaWarta Poznań
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miedz Legnica signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Warta Poznań signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Miedz Legnica vs Warta Poznań FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miedz Legnica gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 26%,Warta Poznań gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Boven 2.5 67% · Current selection Boven