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POL Польша - Лига I · Матч ·

Медзь Легница vs Варта Познань

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Медзь ЛегницаВарта Познань
Expected goals3.45Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 26% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Двойной шанс1273.8%1.36
Больше 67% · Меньше 33%Goals 2.5Больше67%1.49
Да 67% · Нет 33%Обе забьютДа67%1.49
3.45 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
11.6 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Медзь Легница win47%2.131.9147.1%-0.1 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
Варта Познань win27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Медзь Легница1.87

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals3.45Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 67% · Меньше 33%

Варта Познань1.58

Гости share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 67% · Нет 33%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Медзь Легница

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Варта Познань

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
1.58
Медзь ЛегницаВарта Познань
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Медзь Легница signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Варта Познань signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Медзь Легница vs Варта Познань FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Медзь Легница выигрыш 47%,Ничья 26%,Варта Познань выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · ТБ 2.5 67% · Current selection Больше