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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Матч ·

Барселона Гуаякиль vs Макара

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев58%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Барселона ГуаякильМакара
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
58% / 26% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Макара win (16.5%)Двойной шанс1X83.5%1.20
Больше 32% · Меньше 68%Goals 2.5Меньше68%1.47
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapМакара winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Барселона Гуаякиль win58%1.721.5759.3%-1.3 pp
Ничья26%3.853.7025.2%+0.8 pp
Макара win17%5.886.0015.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Барселона Гуаякиль1.07

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 32% · Меньше 68%

Макара0.94

Гости share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Барселона Гуаякиль

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Макара

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.07
Expected goals
0.94
Барселона ГуаякильМакара
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Барселона Гуаякиль signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Макара signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Барселона Гуаякиль vs Макара FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Барселона Гуаякиль выигрыш 58%,Ничья 26%,Макара выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · ТБ 2.5 32% · Current selection Меньше