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INT 厄瓜多爾足球甲組聯賽 · 比賽 ·

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 vs 馬卡拉

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝54%
28%
客勝18%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝54% selection probability
Projected score1–1瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那馬卡拉
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.568% for the selected side
雙方進球60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
54% / 28% / 18%比賽結果主勝54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 馬卡拉 win (17.8%)雙重機會1X82.2%1.22
大 32% · 小 68%Goals 2.568%1.47
是 40% · 否 60%雙方進球60%1.67
2.01 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.2 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gap瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 winDifference-1.7 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 win54%1.851.6755.7%-1.7 pp
28%3.573.4027.4%+0.6 pp
馬卡拉 win18%5.565.5016.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那1.07

主隊 share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 32% · 68%

馬卡拉0.94

客隊 share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

馬卡拉

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
贏 probability excluding draw
18%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.07
Expected goals
0.94
瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那馬卡拉
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02馬卡拉 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 vs 馬卡拉 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 54%, 28%,馬卡拉 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · 大2.5 32% · Current selection