Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 28% / 18%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (17.8%)Double chance1X82.2%1.22
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.00 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapBarcelona Guayaquil winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barcelona Guayaquil win54%1.851.6755.7%-1.7 pp
Draw28%3.573.4027.4%+0.6 pp
Macara win18%5.565.5016.9%+1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53%
Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%
Away share of expected goals 47%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchBarcelona Guayaquil
DLLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchMacara
WWWLW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
18%5
Points from supplied form
121.06
Expected goals
0.94Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Barcelona Guayaquil win 54%，Draw 28%，Macara win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.00 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under。