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Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa54%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa54% selection probability
Projected score1–1Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto68% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
54% / 28% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (17.8%)Doppia Chance1X82.2%1.22
Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%Goals 2.5Sotto68%1.47
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.00 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapBarcelona Guayaquil winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barcelona Guayaquil win54%1.851.6755.7%-1.7 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.4027.4%+0.6 pp
Macara win18%5.565.5016.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona Guayaquil1.06

Casa share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%

Macara0.94

Trasferta share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Barcelona Guayaquil

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Macara

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.06
Expected goals
0.94
Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona Guayaquil signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona Guayaquil vinta 54%,Pareggio 28%,Macara vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Sopra 2.5 32% · Current selection Sotto