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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Final ·

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst58%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 26% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (16.5%)Dubbele Kans1X83.5%1.20
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nee 60%Beide teams scorenNee60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapMacara winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barcelona Guayaquil win58%1.721.5759.3%-1.3 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.7025.2%+0.8 pp
Macara win17%5.886.0015.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona Guayaquil1.07

Thuis share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%

Macara0.94

Uit share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nee 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Barcelona Guayaquil

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Macara

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.07
Expected goals
0.94
Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona Guayaquil signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona Guayaquil gewonnen 58%,Gelijkspel 26%,Macara gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder