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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Spiel ·

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg54%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg54% selection probability
Projected score1–1Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
54% / 28% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (17.8%)Doppelte Chance1X82.2%1.22
Über 32% · Unter 68%Goals 2.5Unter68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
2.00 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapBarcelona Guayaquil winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barcelona Guayaquil win54%1.851.6755.7%-1.7 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.4027.4%+0.6 pp
Macara win18%5.565.5016.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona Guayaquil1.06

Heim share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 32% · Unter 68%

Macara0.94

Auswärts share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Barcelona Guayaquil

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Macara

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.06
Expected goals
0.94
Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona Guayaquil signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona Guayaquil Gewinn 54%,Unentschieden 28%,Macara Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Über 2.5 32% · Current selection Unter