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BRA Brazil Serie B · Матч ·

Athletic Club MG vs Крисиума

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.64 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей38%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGКрисиума
Expected goals1.64Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше77% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 33% / 38%Исход матчаПобеда гостей38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (28.8%)Двойной шансX271.2%1.40
Больше 23% · Меньше 77%Goals 2.5Меньше77%1.30
Да 31% · Нет 69%Обе забьютНет69%1.45
1.64 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club MG win29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Ничья33%3.032.8832.5%+0.5 pp
Крисиума win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.66

Хозяева share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals1.64Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 23% · Меньше 77%

Крисиума0.98

Гости share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 31% · Нет 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Крисиума

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.66
Expected goals
0.98
Athletic Club MGКрисиума
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Крисиума signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Крисиума FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG выигрыш 29%,Ничья 33%,Крисиума выигрыш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.64 · ТБ 2.5 23% · Current selection Меньше