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BRA Brazil Serie B · Spiel ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciúma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg31%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg37%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciúma
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter77% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
31% / 33% / 37%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (30.6%)Doppelte ChanceX269.4%1.44
Über 23% · Unter 77%Goals 2.5Unter77%1.30
Ja 31% · Nein 69%Beide Teams treffenNein69%1.45
1.66 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCriciúma winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club MG win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.3 pp
Unentschieden33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp
Criciúma win37%2.702.6036.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.67

Heim share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 23% · Unter 77%

Criciúma0.99

Auswärts share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nein 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Criciúma

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.67
Expected goals
0.99
Athletic Club MGCriciúma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciúma signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciúma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG Gewinn 31%,Unentschieden 33%,Criciúma Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Über 2.5 23% · Current selection Unter