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BRA Brazil Serie B · Trận đấu ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.64 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng29%
Hòa33%
Đội khách thắng38%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.64Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu77% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
29% / 33% / 38%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (28.8%)Cơ hội képX271.2%1.40
Tài 23% · Xỉu 77%Goals 2.5Xỉu77%1.30
Có 31% · Không 69%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông69%1.45
1.64 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club MG win29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Hòa33%3.032.8832.5%+0.5 pp
Criciuma win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.66

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals1.64Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 23% · Xỉu 77%

Criciuma0.98

Khách share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · Không 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Thắng probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.66
Expected goals
0.98
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG thắng 29%,Hòa 33%,Criciuma thắng 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.64 · Tài 2.5 23% · Current selection Xỉu