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BRA Brazil Serie B · Mecz ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy31%
Remis33%
Wygrana gości37%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej77% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
31% / 33% / 37%Wynik meczuWygrana gości37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (30.6%)Podwójna szansaX269.4%1.44
Powyżej 23% · Poniżej 77%Goals 2.5Poniżej77%1.30
Tak 31% · Nie 69%Obie drużyny strzeląNie69%1.45
1.66 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCriciuma winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club MG win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.3 pp
Remis33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp
Criciuma win37%2.702.6036.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.67

Gospodarze share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 23% · Poniżej 77%

Criciuma0.99

Goście share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 31% · Nie 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.67
Expected goals
0.99
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG wygrana 31%,Remis 33%,Criciuma wygrana 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Powyżej 2.5 23% · Current selection Poniżej