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BRA Brazil Serie B · Maç ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır31%
Beraberlik33%
Deplasman kazanır37%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt77% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
31% / 33% / 37%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (30.6%)Çifte ŞansX269.4%1.44
Üst 23% · Alt 77%Goals 2.5Alt77%1.30
Evet 31% · Hayır 69%Karşılıklı gol varHayır69%1.45
1.66 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.3 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCriciuma winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club MG win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.3 pp
Beraberlik33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp
Criciuma win37%2.702.6036.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.67

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 23% · Alt 77%

Criciuma0.99

Deplasman share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 31% · Hayır 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.67
Expected goals
0.99
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG kazanç 31%,Beraberlik 33%,Criciuma kazanç 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · 2.5 Üst 23% · Current selection Alt