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BRA Brazil Serie B · Zápas ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.64 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích29%
Remíza33%
Výhra hostů38%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.64Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně77% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
29% / 33% / 38%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (28.8%)Dvojitá šanceX271.2%1.40
Více 23% · Méně 77%Goals 2.5Méně77%1.30
Ano 31% · Ne 69%Oba týmy skórujíNe69%1.45
1.64 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
10.3 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club MG win29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Remíza33%3.032.8832.5%+0.5 pp
Criciuma win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.66

Domácí share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals1.64Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 23% · Méně 77%

Criciuma0.98

Hosté share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 31% · Ne 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Výhra probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.66
Expected goals
0.98
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG výhra 29%,Remíza 33%,Criciuma výhra 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.64 · Více 2.5 23% · Current selection Méně