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BRA Brazil Serie B · Kamp ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr31%
Uafgjort33%
Udesejr37%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under77% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
31% / 33% / 37%KampresultatUdesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (30.6%)DobbeltchanceX269.4%1.44
Over 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Ja 31% · Nej 69%Begge hold scorerNej69%1.45
1.66 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCriciuma winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Athletic Club MG win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.3 pp
Uafgjort33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp
Criciuma win37%2.702.6036.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.67

Hjemme share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 23% · Under 77%

Criciuma0.99

Ude share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nej 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vundet probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.67
Expected goals
0.99
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG vundet 31%,Uafgjort 33%,Criciuma vundet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Over 2.5 23% · Current selection Under