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BRA Brazil Serie B · Spiel ·

Novorizontino vs Juventude

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg23%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–1NovorizontinoJuventude
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter81% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 31% / 23%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juventude win (23%)Doppelte Chance1X77%1.30
Über 19% · Unter 81%Goals 2.5Unter81%1.23
Ja 28% · Nein 72%Beide Teams treffenNein72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapNovorizontino winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Novorizontino win46%2.172.0047.1%-1.1 pp
Unentschieden31%3.233.1030.4%+0.6 pp
Juventude win23%4.354.2022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Novorizontino0.77

Heim share of expected goals 51.7%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 19% · Unter 81%

Juventude0.72

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 28% · Nein 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Novorizontino

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Juventude

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.77
Expected goals
0.72
NovorizontinoJuventude
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Novorizontino signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventude signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Novorizontino vs Juventude FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Novorizontino Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 31%,Juventude Gewinn 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Über 2.5 19% · Current selection Unter