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SWE Швеция - 1-й дивизион - Норра · Матч ·

Умео ФК vs АФК Эскильстуна

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Умео ФКАФК Эскильстуна
Expected goals3.31Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 23% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Двойной шанс1276.9%1.30
Больше 64% · Меньше 36%Goals 2.5Больше64%1.56
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
3.31 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.6 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapУмео ФК winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Умео ФК win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
АФК Эскильстуна win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Умео ФК1.41

Хозяева share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.31Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 64% · Меньше 36%

АФК Эскильстуна1.90

Гости share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Умео ФК

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

АФК Эскильстуна

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.90
Умео ФКАФК Эскильстуна
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Умео ФК signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АФК Эскильстуна signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Умео ФК vs АФК Эскильстуна FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Умео ФК выигрыш 44%,Ничья 23%,АФК Эскильстуна выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · ТБ 2.5 64% · Current selection Больше