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SWE Suécia - 1.ª Divisão - Norte · Partida ·

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante33%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.31Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima64% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 23% / 33%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)Dupla Chance1276.8%1.30
Acima 64% · Abaixo 36%Goals 2.5Acima64%1.56
Sim 65% · Não 35%Ambas as equipes marcamSim65%1.54
3.31 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
10.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapUmeå FC winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Umeå FC win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
AFC Eskilstuna win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umeå FC1.41

Mandante share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.31Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 64% · Abaixo 36%

AFC Eskilstuna1.90

Visitante share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 65% · Não 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Umeå FC

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.90
Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umeå FC signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umeå FC ganhou 44%,Empate 23%,AFC Eskilstuna ganhou 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Acima 2.5 64% · Current selection Acima