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SWE Svezia - 1ª Divisione Norra · Partita ·

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.31Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 23% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)Doppia Chance1276.8%1.30
Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%Goals 2.5Sopra64%1.56
Sì 65% · No 35%Entrambe le squadre segnano65%1.54
3.31 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapUmeå FC winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Umeå FC win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Pareggio23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
AFC Eskilstuna win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umeå FC1.41

Casa share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.31Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%

AFC Eskilstuna1.90

Trasferta share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Umeå FC

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.90
Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umeå FC signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umeå FC vinta 44%,Pareggio 23%,AFC Eskilstuna vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Sopra 2.5 64% · Current selection Sopra