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SWE Schweden - 1. Division Nord · Spiel ·

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.31Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 23% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)Doppelte Chance1276.8%1.30
Über 64% · Unter 36%Goals 2.5Über64%1.56
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.31 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapUmeå FC winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Umeå FC win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Unentschieden23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
AFC Eskilstuna win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umeå FC1.41

Heim share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.31Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 64% · Unter 36%

AFC Eskilstuna1.90

Auswärts share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Umeå FC

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.90
Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umeå FC signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umeå FC Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 23%,AFC Eskilstuna Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Über 2.5 64% · Current selection Über