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SWE スウェーデン ディビジョン1 ノラ · 試合 ·

ウメオFC vs AFCエシルストゥーナ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け23%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–2ウメオFCAFCエシルストゥーナ
Expected goals3.31始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 23% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)ダブルチャンス1276.8%1.30
オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%Goals 2.5オーバー64%1.56
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
3.31 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.6 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapウメオFC winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ウメオFC win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
AFCエシルストゥーナ win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ウメオFC1.41

ホーム share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.31始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%

AFCエシルストゥーナ1.90

アウェイ share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ウメオFC

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

AFCエシルストゥーナ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.90
ウメオFCAFCエシルストゥーナ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ウメオFC signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFCエシルストゥーナ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

ウメオFC vs AFCエシルストゥーナ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ウメオFC 勝ち 44%,引き分け 23%,AFCエシルストゥーナ 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · オーバー 2.5 64% · Current selection オーバー