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SWE Suecia - 1ª División - Norte · Partido ·

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.31Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 23% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Doble Oportunidad1276.9%1.30
Más de 64% · Menos de 36%Goals 2.5Más de64%1.56
Sí 65% · No 35%Ambos equipos marcan65%1.54
3.31 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
10.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapUmeå FC winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Umeå FC win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
AFC Eskilstuna win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umeå FC1.41

Local share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.31Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 64% · Menos de 36%

AFC Eskilstuna1.90

Visitante share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Umeå FC

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.90
Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umeå FC signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umeå FC ganada 44%,Empate 23%,AFC Eskilstuna ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Más de 2.5 64% · Current selection Más de