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SWE Suecia - 1ª División - Norte · Partido ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local59%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante18%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.33Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
59% / 23% / 18%Resultado del partidoVictoria local59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (18%)Doble Oportunidad1X82%1.22
Más de 65% · Menos de 35%Goals 2.5Más de65%1.54
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
3.33 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
FC Arlanda win59%1.69
Empate23%4.35
Piteå IF win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Local share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.33Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 65% · Menos de 35%

Piteå IF0.92

Visitante share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Ganado probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.92
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda ganada 59%,Empate 23%,Piteå IF ganada 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Más de 2.5 65% · Current selection Más de