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SWE Suedia - Divizia 1 - Norra · Meci ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde59%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți18%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.33Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste65% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
59% / 23% / 18%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (18%)Șansă dublă1X82%1.22
Peste 65% · Sub 35%Goals 2.5Peste65%1.54
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
3.33 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FC Arlanda win59%1.69
Egal23%4.35
Piteå IF win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Gazde share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.33Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 65% · Sub 35%

Piteå IF0.92

Oaspeți share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Câștig probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.92
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda câștig 59%,Egal 23%,Piteå IF câștig 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Peste 2.5 65% · Current selection Peste