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SWE Suède - 1.div Norra · Match ·

FC Arlanda vs Pitea IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPitea IF
Expected goals3.33Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 23% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pitea IF win (18%)Double chance1X82%1.22
Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%Goals 2.5Plus de65%1.54
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
3.33 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
FC Arlanda win59%1.69
Nul23%4.35
Pitea IF win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Domicile share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.33Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%

Pitea IF0.92

Extérieur share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Pitea IF

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.92
FC ArlandaPitea IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pitea IF signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Pitea IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda victoire 59%,Nul 23%,Pitea IF victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Plus de 2.5 65% · Current selection Plus de