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SWE Suède - 1.div Norra · Match ·

Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.33 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile30%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur44%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umea FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.33Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 26% / 44%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%Goals 2.5Plus de65%1.54
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Umea FC win30%3.33
Nul26%3.85
AFC Eskilstuna win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umea FC1.41

Domicile share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals3.33Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%

AFC Eskilstuna1.92

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Umea FC

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.92
Umea FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umea FC signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umea FC victoire 30%,Nul 26%,AFC Eskilstuna victoire 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Plus de 2.5 65% · Current selection Plus de