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SWE Suecia - 1ª División - Norte · Partido ·

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.33 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local30%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante44%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.33Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
30% / 26% / 44%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doble Oportunidad1273.9%1.35
Más de 65% · Menos de 35%Goals 2.5Más de65%1.54
Sí 65% · No 35%Ambos equipos marcan65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Umeå FC win30%3.33
Empate26%3.85
AFC Eskilstuna win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umeå FC1.41

Local share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals3.33Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 65% · Menos de 35%

AFC Eskilstuna1.92

Visitante share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Umeå FC

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Ganado probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.92
Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umeå FC signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umeå FC ganada 30%,Empate 26%,AFC Eskilstuna ganada 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Más de 2.5 65% · Current selection Más de