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SWE スウェーデン ディビジョン1 ノラ · 試合 ·

ウメオFC vs AFCエシルストゥーナ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–23.33 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利30%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利44%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–2ウメオFCAFCエシルストゥーナ
Expected goals3.33始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
30% / 26% / 44%試合結果アウェイ勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)ダブルチャンス1273.9%1.35
オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%Goals 2.5オーバー65%1.54
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
3.33 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.5 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ウメオFC win30%3.33
引き分け26%3.85
AFCエシルストゥーナ win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ウメオFC1.41

ホーム share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals3.33始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%

AFCエシルストゥーナ1.92

アウェイ share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ウメオFC

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

AFCエシルストゥーナ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
勝ち probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.92
ウメオFCAFCエシルストゥーナ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ウメオFC signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFCエシルストゥーナ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ウメオFC vs AFCエシルストゥーナ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ウメオFC 勝ち 30%,引き分け 26%,AFCエシルストゥーナ 勝ち 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · オーバー 2.5 65% · Current selection オーバー