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SWE Sverige - Ettan Norra · Match ·

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.33 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger30%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger44%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.33Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
30% / 26% / 44%MatchresultatBortaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbelchans1274%1.35
Över 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Över65%1.54
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Umeå FC win30%3.33
Oavgjort26%3.85
AFC Eskilstuna win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umeå FC1.41

Hemma share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals3.33Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 65% · Under 35%

AFC Eskilstuna1.92

Borta share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Umeå FC

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.92
Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umeå FC signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umeå FC vunnen 30%,Oavgjort 26%,AFC Eskilstuna vunnen 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Över 2.5 65% · Current selection Över