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SWE Sverige - Ettan Norra · Match ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger59%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.33Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
59% / 23% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (18%)Dubbelchans1X82%1.22
Över 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Över65%1.54
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
3.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Arlanda win59%1.69
Oavgjort23%4.35
Piteå IF win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Hemma share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.33Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 65% · Under 35%

Piteå IF0.92

Borta share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.92
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda vunnen 59%,Oavgjort 23%,Piteå IF vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Över 2.5 65% · Current selection Över