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SWE Sverige - 1. div. Norra · Kamp ·

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr59%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr18%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Expected goals3.33Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
59% / 23% / 18%KampresultatHjemmesejr59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Piteå IF win (18%)Dobbeltchance1X82%1.22
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Begge hold scorerJa55%1.82
3.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Arlanda win59%1.69
Uafgjort23%4.35
Piteå IF win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda2.41

Hjemme share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.33Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Piteå IF0.92

Ude share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Piteå IF

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vundet probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.41
Expected goals
0.92
FC ArlandaPiteå IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piteå IF signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Piteå IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda vundet 59%,Uafgjort 23%,Piteå IF vundet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over