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SWE Sverige - Ettan Norra · Match ·

FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger17%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger59%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger59% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC JärfällaIF Karlstad
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
17% / 24% / 59%MatchresultatBortaseger59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Järfälla win (17%)DubbelchansX283%1.20
Över 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Över58%1.72
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
3.01 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Järfälla win17%5.88
Oavgjort24%4.17
IF Karlstad win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Järfälla0.78

Hemma share of expected goals 25.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 58% · Under 42%

IF Karlstad2.23

Borta share of expected goals 74.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Järfälla

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

IF Karlstad

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
59%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.78
Expected goals
2.23
FC JärfällaIF Karlstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Järfälla signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Karlstad signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Järfälla vs IF Karlstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Järfälla vunnen 17%,Oavgjort 24%,IF Karlstad vunnen 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Över 2.5 58% · Current selection Över