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SWE Швеция - 1-й дивизион - Норра · Матч ·

ФК Йерфелла vs Карлстад

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев17%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей59%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей59% selection probability
Projected score1–2ФК ЙерфеллаКарлстад
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
17% / 24% / 59%Исход матчаПобеда гостей59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Йерфелла win (17.1%)Двойной шансX282.9%1.21
Больше 58% · Меньше 42%Goals 2.5Больше58%1.72
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
3.01 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Йерфелла win17%5.88
Ничья24%4.17
Карлстад win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Йерфелла0.78

Хозяева share of expected goals 25.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 58% · Меньше 42%

Карлстад2.23

Гости share of expected goals 74.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Йерфелла

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Карлстад

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
59%
4
Points from supplied form
10
0.78
Expected goals
2.23
ФК ЙерфеллаКарлстад
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Йерфелла signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Карлстад signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ФК Йерфелла vs Карлстад FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Йерфелла выигрыш 17%,Ничья 24%,Карлстад выигрыш 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · ТБ 2.5 58% · Current selection Больше