MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
SWE Sweden 1.div Norra · Fixture ·

Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw26%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umea FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.33Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 26% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Umea FC win30%3.33
Draw26%3.85
AFC Eskilstuna win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umea FC1.41

Home share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals3.33Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

AFC Eskilstuna1.92

Away share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Umea FC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.92
Umea FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umea FC signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umea FC win 30%,Draw 26%,AFC Eskilstuna win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over