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SWE Sweden 1.div Norra · Fixture ·

IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.34 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw24%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2IFK StocksundGefle IF
Expected goals4.34Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 24% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Double chance1276.1%1.31
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 79% · No 21%Both teams scoreYes79%1.27
4.34 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
IFK Stocksund win35%2.86
Draw24%4.17
Gefle IF win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Stocksund2.05

Home share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals4.34Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%

Gefle IF2.29

Away share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 79% · No 21%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

IFK Stocksund

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gefle IF

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.05
Expected goals
2.29
IFK StocksundGefle IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Stocksund signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gefle IF signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Stocksund win 35%,Draw 24%,Gefle IF win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.34 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over