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SWE Suedia - Divizia 1 - Norra · Meci ·

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–23.33 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde30%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți44%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Expected goals3.33Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste65% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
30% / 26% / 44%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Șansă dublă1273.9%1.35
Peste 65% · Sub 35%Goals 2.5Peste65%1.54
Da 65% · Nu 35%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65%1.54
3.33 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Umeå FC win30%3.33
Egal26%3.85
AFC Eskilstuna win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umeå FC1.41

Gazde share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals3.33Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 65% · Sub 35%

AFC Eskilstuna1.92

Oaspeți share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 65% · Nu 35%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Umeå FC

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

AFC Eskilstuna

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Câștig probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.92
Umeå FCAFC Eskilstuna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umeå FC signalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Eskilstuna signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umeå FC câștig 30%,Egal 26%,AFC Eskilstuna câștig 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Peste 2.5 65% · Current selection Peste