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SWE Suède - 1.div Norra · Match ·

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile58%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Expected goals3.16Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 24% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FBK Karlstad win (18.1%)Double chance1X81.9%1.22
Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%Goals 2.5Plus de61%1.64
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
3.16 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Hammarby TFF win58%1.72
Nul24%4.17
FBK Karlstad win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hammarby TFF2.29

Domicile share of expected goals 72.5%

Total expected goals3.16Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%

FBK Karlstad0.87

Extérieur share of expected goals 27.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Hammarby TFF

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FBK Karlstad

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.29
Expected goals
0.87
Hammarby TFFFBK Karlstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hammarby TFF signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBK Karlstad signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hammarby TFF victoire 58%,Nul 24%,FBK Karlstad victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Plus de 2.5 61% · Current selection Plus de