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SWE Σουηδία - Div 1 Norra · Αγώνας ·

Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦ vs ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου58%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου18%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ
Expected goals3.16Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
58% / 24% / 18%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ win (18.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X81.9%1.22
Άνω 61% · Κάτω 39%Goals 2.5Άνω61%1.64
Ναι 52% · Όχι 48%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52%1.92
3.16 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦ win58%1.72
Ισοπαλία24%4.17
ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦ2.29

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 72.5%

Total expected goals3.16Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 61% · Κάτω 39%

ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ0.87

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 27.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 52% · Όχι 48%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦ

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.29
Expected goals
0.87
Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦ vs ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Χάμαρμπι ΤΦΦ νίκη 58%,Ισοπαλία 24%,ΦΒΚ Κάρλσταντ νίκη 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Άνω 2.5 61% · Current selection Άνω