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SWE Швеция - 1. Дивизия Нора · Мач ·

Хамарби vs ФБК Карлстад

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина58%
Равен24%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина58% selection probability
Projected score2–1ХамарбиФБК Карлстад
Expected goals3.15Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
58% / 24% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФБК Карлстад win (18.1%)Двоен шанс1X81.9%1.22
Над 61% · Под 39%Goals 2.5Над61%1.64
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
3.15 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Хамарби win58%1.72
Равен24%4.17
ФБК Карлстад win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хамарби2.28

Домакин share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.15Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 61% · Под 39%

ФБК Карлстад0.87

Гост share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Хамарби

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФБК Карлстад

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.28
Expected goals
0.87
ХамарбиФБК Карлстад
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хамарби signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФБК Карлстад signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Хамарби vs ФБК Карлстад FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хамарби печеливш 58%,Равен 24%,ФБК Карлстад печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Над 2.5 61% · Current selection Над