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SWE Швеция - 1. Дивизия Нора · Мач ·

ФК Умеа vs АФК Ескилстуна

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен23%
Победа за госта33%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score1–2ФК УмеаАФК Ескилстуна
Expected goals3.31Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над64% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 23% / 33%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)Двоен шанс1276.8%1.30
Над 64% · Под 36%Goals 2.5Над64%1.56
Да 65% · Не 35%И двата отбора да отбележатДа65%1.54
3.31 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.6 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapФК Умеа winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Умеа win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Равен23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
АФК Ескилстуна win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Умеа1.41

Домакин share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.31Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 64% · Под 36%

АФК Ескилстуна1.90

Гост share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 65% · Не 35%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Умеа

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

АФК Ескилстуна

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.41
Expected goals
1.90
ФК УмеаАФК Ескилстуна
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Умеа signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АФК Ескилстуна signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

ФК Умеа vs АФК Ескилстуна FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Умеа печеливш 44%,Равен 23%,АФК Ескилстуна печеливш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Над 2.5 64% · Current selection Над