Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
47% / 26% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Șansă dublă1273.9%1.35
Peste 55% · Sub 45%Goals 2.5Peste55%1.82
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsScor corect2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCaernarfon winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caernarfon win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Egal26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Penybont win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 60%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Peste 55% · Sub 45%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 40%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchCaernarfon
WWWWL
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12
SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPenybont
DWDLL
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5
SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
51.74
Expected goals
1.16CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Caernarfon câștig 47%，Egal 26%，Penybont câștig 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Peste 2.5 55% · Current selection Peste。