MatchFormula Nájsť zápas
Menu
UTC+8
Časové pásmoAsia/Shanghai
Slovenčina
WAL Wales - Premier League · Zápas ·

Caernarfon vs Penybont

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich47%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich47% selection probability
Projected score2–1CaernarfonPenybont
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac55% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
47% / 26% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dvojitá šanca1273.9%1.35
Viac 55% · Menej 45%Goals 2.5Viac55%1.82
Áno 57% · Nie 43%Oba tímy skórujúÁno57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCaernarfon winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caernarfon win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Remíza26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Penybont win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caernarfon1.74

Domáci share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 55% · Menej 45%

Penybont1.16

Hostia share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Caernarfon

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Penybont

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caernarfon signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penybont signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caernarfon výhra 47%,Remíza 26%,Penybont výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Viac 2.5 55% · Current selection Viac