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WAL Ουαλία - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

Καερναρφόν vs Πένιμποντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου47%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου27%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου47% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΚαερναρφόνΠένιμποντ
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
47% / 26% / 27%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.9%1.35
Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%Goals 2.5Άνω55%1.82
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapΚαερναρφόν winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Καερναρφόν win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Ισοπαλία26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Πένιμποντ win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Καερναρφόν1.74

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%

Πένιμποντ1.16

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Καερναρφόν

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πένιμποντ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
ΚαερναρφόνΠένιμποντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Καερναρφόν signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πένιμποντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Καερναρφόν vs Πένιμποντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Καερναρφόν νίκη 47%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Πένιμποντ νίκη 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Άνω 2.5 55% · Current selection Άνω