Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
47% / 26% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Podwójna szansa1273.9%1.35
Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%Goals 2.5Powyżej55%1.82
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCaernarfon winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caernarfon win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Remis26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Penybont win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gospodarze share of expected goals 60%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%
Goście share of expected goals 40%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gospodarze-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchCaernarfon
WWWWL
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12
SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5
Goście-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPenybont
DWDLL
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5
SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
51.74
Expected goals
1.16CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Caernarfon wygrana 47%，Remis 26%，Penybont wygrana 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Powyżej 2.5 55% · Current selection Powyżej。