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WAL Уелс - Висша Лига · Final ·

Каернарфон vs Пенибонт

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–2Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина47%
Равен26%
Победа за госта27%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина47% selection probability
Projected score2–1КаернарфонПенибонт
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
47% / 26% / 27%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Двоен шанс1273.9%1.35
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapКаернарфон winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каернарфон win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Равен26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Пенибонт win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каернарфон1.74

Домакин share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

Пенибонт1.16

Гост share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Каернарфон

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Пенибонт

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
КаернарфонПенибонт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каернарфон signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пенибонт signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Каернарфон vs Пенибонт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каернарфон печеливш 47%,Равен 26%,Пенибонт печеливш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над