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WAL Wales - Premier Liga · Final ·

Caernarfon vs Penybont

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score1–2Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem47%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem27%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Vesztett
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem47% selection probability
Projected score2–1CaernarfonPenybont
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett55% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
47% / 26% / 27%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dupla esély1273.9%1.35
Felett 55% · Alatt 45%Goals 2.5Felett55%1.82
Igen 57% · Nem 43%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.4 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCaernarfon winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caernarfon win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Döntetlen26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Penybont win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caernarfon1.74

Hazai share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 55% · Alatt 45%

Penybont1.16

Vendég share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 57% · Nem 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Caernarfon

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Penybont

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Nyert probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caernarfon signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penybont signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caernarfon nyer 47%,Döntetlen 26%,Penybont nyer 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · 2.5 felett 55% · Current selection Felett